Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
