Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Ostersunds FK win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kalmar in this match.