We said: IFK Goteborg 0-2 Elfsborg
Although both sides have struggled for consistency this term, the sheer number of absentees for Goteborg could give Elfsborg an advantage.
With this in mind, considering that the away side have scored nine more Allsvenskan goals than the home side, their attack could benefit from Goteborg's relative disorganisation.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.