Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Falkenbergs had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Falkenbergs win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.