Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkenbergs win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkenbergs win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkenbergs would win this match.