Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
