Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.18%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.39%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.