Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.66%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Saint Lucia win it was 1-0 (4.86%).