Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.