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League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
DW Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Wigan
2 - 0
Crewe

Lang (57'), McClean (82')
Naylor (16'), Watts (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murphy (47')

Preview: Wigan Athletic vs. Crewe Alexandra - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wigan Athletic will look to strengthen their position in the top two of the League One table on Tuesday, when they welcome Crewe Alexandra to the DW Stadium.

The Latics returned to winning ways against Charlton Athletic at the weekend, while their visitors have now lost five consecutive games in England's third tier.


Match preview

Wigan Athletic manager Leam Richardson on October 16, 2021© Reuters

Thanks to an eye-catching 10-game unbeaten run in League One, including eight victories spanning November, December and January, Wigan Athletic find themselves in a particularly strong position in their fight for promotion this term, as they moved onto 54 points from 24 matches.

However, the form of Leam Richardson's men did then take a slight dip, as disappointing draws with Cheltenham Town and Oxford United were followed by a harmful 1-0 defeat to fellow promotion-chasers Sheffield Wednesday at Hillsborough, with a Barry Bannan penalty making the difference.

They were quickly able to return to winning ways on Saturday, as Stephen Humphrys sealed a 2-1 victory over Charlton Athletic on home turf after Will Keane had cancelled out the visitors' opener from the penalty spot.

That saw the Latics climb back above MK Dons and into the top two, and, with at least three games in hand on every side in the top five, they find themselves in an enviable position in the fight to reach the Championship.

Richardson's side will now look to make it back-to-back wins to reduce the gap between themselves and league leaders Rotherham United to six points and stretch their lead over the playoff places to five points while still keeping games in hand.

Crewe Alexandra manager David Artell on January 27, 2022© Reuters

They welcome a Crewe Alexandra side who arrive desperate to break a five-game losing run in League One as they aim to improve their standing in the battle for survival.

After briefly lifting the mood at the Alexandra Stadium with three victories from a span of five games around the turn of the year, David Artell's side have sunk back deep into the relegation zone in the second half of the term.

The Railwaymen firstly fell to Cambridge United, Rotherham United and Gillingham before being the victims of back-to-back 4-1 defeats heading into Tuesday, despite leading 1-0 against Plymouth Argyle until the break in the first of the two.

Artell's men then travelled to Accrington Stanley on Saturday, with a late Dan Agyei goal making no difference to the game as they were again beaten 4-1.

Now sitting nine points adrift of safety with 15 games left to play, the Railwaymen face the tough task of taking on the league's second-placed side in their search for a vital and elusive win.

Wigan Athletic League One form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W

Wigan Athletic form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Crewe Alexandra League One form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Wigan Athletic's Thelo Aasgaard celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on December 8, 2021© Reuters

Wigan striker Charlie Wyke remains out of action indefinitely, while winger Jordan Cousins will again miss out as he continues to recover from an injury sustained before the turn of the year.

Stephen Humphrys will hope to lead the line after his winning goal off the bench last time out, although Josh Magennis has tended to be deployed since his January arrival from Hull City.

The threatening duo of Callum Lang and Will Keane should again compliment a lone striker, having registered combined tallies of 24 goals and 12 assists in league action this season.

Still searching for inspiration, Artell may look to make changes to his Crewe side for Tuesday, with Chris Long likely to come back into the side next to Tuesday's scorer Dan Agyei in attack.

Elsewhere, Callum Ainley and Luke Murphy are both set to battle to start in the midfield after settling for appearances off the bench last time out.

Wigan Athletic possible starting lineup:
Amos; Kerr, Whatmough, Tilt; Darikwa, Power, Naylor, McClean; Keane, Magennis, Lang

Crewe Alexandra possible starting lineup:
Richards; Alebiosu, Johnson, O'Riordan, Offord, Uwakwe; Harper, Ainley, Murphy; Agyei, Long


SM words green background

We say: Wigan Athletic 3-1 Crewe Alexandra

Wigan appear to be the far stronger of the two sides, and, with more confidence given the contrasting form, we see them recording a relatively routine home win on Tuesday.

Artell's side have found it tough to keep things tight at the back recently, and the hosts have the tools to exploit a struggling back line.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Wigan vs Crewe

Wigan Athletic
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Crewe Alexandra
0.0%
12
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Wigan Athletic coach Leam Richardson on February 1, 2022
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Tuesday's League One predictions including Wigan Athletic vs. Sheffield Wednesday
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