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Attendance: 59,962
West Ham logo
Premier League | Gameweek 28
Feb 29, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Southampton logo

3-1

Bowen (15'), Haller (40'), Antonio (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Obafemi (31')

Preview: West Ham United vs. Southampton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole provides team news, predicted lineups and a full preview of Saturday's Premier League meeting between West Ham United and Southampton.

West Ham United face Southampton at the London Stadium on Saturday afternoon knowing that a point could move the club out of the Premier League relegation zone.

The Saints make the trip to England's capital sitting 10 points above the bottom three and the same margin behind fourth-placed Chelsea.


Match preview

West Ham boss David Moyes on February 1, 2020© Reuters

While David Moyes would have been encouraged by his side's performance against Liverpool on Monday night, West Ham have now gone eight matches without success in all competitions.

The Hammers have had to contend with some difficult matches, including a double-header with the leaders and last year's champions Manchester City, but the pressure has only increased with the club in the bottom three.

One win would change the mood at the London Stadium, especially this weekend when victory would take the club outside of the drop zone courtesy of Aston Villa competing in the EFL Cup final.

However, making that a reality is easier said than done, and Moyes will need to find a solution to their frailties at the back before expecting his side to make progress up the standings.

Individual mistakes have cost West Ham throughout the campaign, an issue which must be rectified if the East Londoners are to benefit from any improvements made at the other end of the pitch.

From Southampton's perspective, they will welcome the opportunity to face a struggling West Ham side after getting back on track with victory over Villa last weekend.

The Saints dominated from start to finish at St Mary's, although they only confirmed the three points through a break-away goal from Stuart Armstrong during the final seconds.

Ralph Hasenhuttl's side were under pressure to gain a result, with defeat having the potential to leave them involved in a relegation battle after successive setbacks to Liverpool and Burnley.

The biggest plus from their most recent win was not having to rely on a goal from the free-scoring Danny Ings, who has netted 15 of the club's 34 strikes in the top flight this season.

West Ham United Premier League form: DLLDLL
West Ham United form (all competitions): LLLDLL

Southampton Premier League form: WLWLLW
Southampton form (all competitions): WDLLLW


Team News

Pablo Fornals in action for West Ham on July 27, 2019© Reuters

With Tomas Soucek having been sidelined for three weeks, Pablo Fornals should be provided with a recall to the starting lineup.

The rest of the team may remain the same, with Michail Antonio expected to get the nod over Sebastien Haller in attack.

Southampton defender Kyle Walker-Peters could miss his second successive game with a calf injury, which could lead to a start for Yan Valery.

That would allow James Ward-Prowse to return to the centre of midfield, relegating William Smallbone to the substitutes' bench.

Nathan Redmond misses out for the Saints through injury.

West Ham United possible starting lineup:
Fabianski; Ngakia, Diop, Ogbonna, Cresswell; Noble, Rice; Snodgrass, Fornals, Anderson; Antonio

Southampton possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Valery, Stephens, Bednarek, Bertrand; Armstrong, Ward-Prowse, Hojbjerg, Djenepo; Long, Ings


Sports Mole Logo

We say: West Ham United 1-2 Southampton

Although West Ham will take the positives from their performance at Anfield, we feel that this match is set up for the Saints to hit the Hammers on the break. With that in mind, expect the visitors to claim a narrow victory.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%).


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12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
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