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West Brom logo
Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Fulham logo

West Brom
2 - 2
Fulham

Bartley (47'), Pereira (66')
Bartley (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (10'), Cavaleiro (77')

Preview: West Bromwich Albion vs. Fulham - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between West Bromwich Albion and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Relegation rivals West Bromwich Albion and Fulham face off at The Hawthorns on Saturday afternoon in a huge match at the bottom end of the Premier League.

The sides have won two games each all season and are at risk of being cut adrift should they fall to defeat this weekend.


Match preview

West Bromwich Albion manager Sam Allardyce reacts on January 16, 2021© Reuters

West Brom enter this relegation six-pointer on the back of a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Manchester City in midweek, making it five home league losses in a row.

The Baggies have shipped at least three goals in each of those defeats and have failed to score in the last four of them.

Indeed, each of the last 21 Premier League goals scored at The Hawthorns has been scored by the opposition - the longest run of goals at a stadium scored against a single team in the competition's history.

Sam Allardyce's men, whose only win in their last 10 outings overall in the league came against Wolverhampton Wanderers two weeks ago, are now seven points adrift of 17th-placed Brighton & Hove Albion.

Fulham are in a slightly better position, two points closer to Brighton and with a game in hand still to play, though no team is on a longer winless run in the division (nine matches).

Fulham manager Scott Parker pictured on January 9, 2021© Reuters

However, the Cottagers look a stronger side now than they did in the first few months of the season, losing just two of their last eight league matches.

Too many games are being drawn, though, with Brighton the only team in the division to have drawn more times this campaign.

It came as little surprise, then, that those two teams played out a stalemate on Wednesday. Fulham were arguably second best at the Amex Stadium, though they could have snatched victory late on through chances for Aleksandar Mitrovic and Ruben Loftus-Cheek.

Three of the last four league meetings between West Brom and Fulham have also finished all square, meanwhile, with the Cottagers picking up the only victory in that sequence.

In fact, this is a fixture that the west London side tend to do well in, having gone eight without defeat against West Brom in the Premier League.

West Bromwich Albion Premier League form: DLLWLL
West Bromwich Albion form (all competitions): LLLWLL

Fulham Premier League form: DDDLLD
Fulham form (all competitions): WDLLLD


Team News

Fulham's Antonee Robinson is shown a red card against Chelsea on January 16, 2021© Reuters

Grady Diangana and Conor Townsend have been ruled out of this game for West Brom.

Allardyce will surely make changes on the back of the heavy loss to Man City, which could mean the ineffective Callum Robinson dropping out of the side.

Matt Phillips and Conor Gallagher are among those pushing for recalls to the starting lineup, while Karlan Grant may lead the line after starting out wide in midweek.

As for the visitors, Antonee Robinson is back from suspension, but Tom Cairney and Terence Kongolo remain sidelined.

Ivan Cavaleiro and Ademola Lookman led the line against Brighton and, despite not finding the net, the pair are expected to link up again on Saturday.

At the opposite end of the pitch, Alphonse Areola is looking to keep successive Premier League clean sheets for the first time.

West Bromwich Albion possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; Furlong, Ajayi, Bartley, Gibbs; Gallagher, Sawyers; Snodgrass, Pereira, Phillips; Grant

Fulham possible starting lineup:
Areola; Aina, Andersen, Adarabioyo; Tete, Loftus-Cheek, Reed, Anguissa, Robinson; Cavaleiro, Lookman


SM words green background

We say: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Fulham

It is still too early in the season to describe this as a make-or-break clash for either side, though both managers will see this as a huge opportunity to close the gap on safety.

West Brom have been abysmal on home soil since the start of December, while Fulham have looked good on their travels but are drawing too many games.

The Cottagers have drawn their last three away league matches, in fact, and we are backing this one to finish the same way - a result that will suit neither side.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: West Brom vs Fulham

West Bromwich Albion
28.5%
Draw
37.7%
Fulham
33.8%
151
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West Bromwich Albion manager Sam Allardyce reacts on January 16, 2021
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
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