MX23RW : Wednesday, November 13 20:10:20| >> :600:192429:192429:
[monks data]
Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 37
Jul 16, 2020 at 8pm UK
Mestalla
Espanyol logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Espanyol

Gameiro (17')
Diakhaby (59'), Coquelin (80')
Costa (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pipa (39'), de Tomas (66'), Vila (69'), Espinosa (81')

Preview: Valencia vs. Espanyol - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Espanyol, including team news and predicted lineups.

Valencia will be aiming to keep their slim hopes of a top-seven finish alive when they welcome already-relegated Espanyol to the Mestalla Stadium in their penultimate game of the season.

Both teams suffered defeats in their most recent outings, with Valencia beaten by a struggling Leganes outfit while Espanyol's losing streak continued against Eibar.


Match preview

Valencia's Dani Parejo looks dejected after Lille's Victor Osimhen scores their first goal on November 5, 2019© Reuters

Valencia had started to pick up a few points again following the sacking of Albert Celades, but caretaker manager Voro was forced to witness his side succumb to a Ruben Perez penalty in a 1-0 defeat to Leganes at the weekend.

Valencia have now lost five times since the Spanish top flight was given the green light to resume, and their European hopes have dwindled severely with just two games left to play.

Voro's men now occupy ninth spot with 50 points - four adrift of seventh-placed Real Sociedad in what has been a hugely disappointing campaign for a Valencia side that enjoyed back-to-back top-four finishes in the previous two campaigns.

Los Ches will take on Sevilla - a side that has already guaranteed Champions League qualification for next season - in their final game of the season but Valencia's European hopes may have already be wiped out by then should Real Sociedad enjoy victory over Sevilla in midweek.

Meanwhile, Espanyol are heading down to the Segunda Division without a fight after suffering their seventh defeat on the bounce against Eibar on Sunday.

Los Periquitos fate was sealed well before the game following their 1-0 loss to Barcelona which confirmed their relegation, and Espanyol are simply playing for pride following a truly disheartening season for Francisco Rufete's men.

Espanyol have not played outside the Spanish top flight since the 1993-94 season, but Rufete's men have only managed to accumulate 24 points all season and never looked likely to produce a miraculous turnaround in the second half of the campaign.

However, three of Espanyol's five wins during the 2019-20 campaign have actually come on the road, although Rufete's men have only found the back of the net four times in their last nine La Liga outings.

Los Periquitos are now facing a Valencia side whom they have only triumphed over once in their last eight meetings, and Los Ches enjoyed a 2-1 victory when the clubs locked horns earlier in the campaign.

Valencia La Liga form: LLLDWL

Espanyol La Liga form: LLLLLL


Team News

Valencia's Ferran Torres in action against Ajax in the Champions League on October 2, 2019© Reuters

Rodrigo Moreno, Ezequiel Garay, Gaya and Cristiano Piccini all remain sidelined for Valencia at a time where Voro needs his strongest squad possible.

Highly-coveted midfielder Ferran Torres, who is supposedly wanted by a host of European sides, will be hopeful of earning a start after coming off the bench for the second half against Leganes.

Carlos Soler is also an option for change on the opposite flank, and Alessandro Florenzi could potentially be handed a start in defence.

As for Espanyol, Pipa is Rufete's solitary injury concern at the minute, with the right-back unlikely to feature before the end of the campaign.

Wu Lei is in line for a return to the starting XI, while Sergi Darder and Raul de Tomas will also be holding out for recalls.

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Domenech; Florenzi, Gabriel, Diakhaby, Costa; Torres, Parejo, Kondogbia, Soler; Gameiro, Gomez

Espanyol possible starting lineup:
Diego Lopez; Gomez, Espinosa, Cabrera, Vila; Melendo, Roca, David Lopez, Darder; Lei, De Tomas


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Valencia 2-0 Espanyol

Valencia will be aware that this is a must-win game if they are to stand any chance of qualifying for next season's Europa League. The result may not matter if Sociedad also triumph in midweek, but given Espanyol's abysmal recent record, we are going for a comfortable home victory.



ID:406407: cacheID:406407:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:8148:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Valencia's Ferran Torres in action against Ajax in the Champions League on October 2, 2019
Read Next:
Man City 'join Man Utd in Ferran Torres race'
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!