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Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mestalla
Cadiz logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Cadiz

Gomez (79')
Cheryshev (16'), Guillamon (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lozano (59')
Lozano (36'), Negredo (69')

Preview: Valencia vs. Cadiz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Struggling Valencia will be looking to bounce back from successive La Liga defeats when they welcome an out-of-form Cadiz side to Mestalla on Sunday night.

Los Che have not won in the league since November 8 and are currently down in 17th position in the table, while Cadiz occupy ninth despite struggling for results in recent weeks.


Match preview

Valencia's Maxi Gomez scores their second goal against Barcelona on December 19, 2020© Reuters

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a poor campaign for Valencia to date, with Javi Gracia's side picking up just 15 points from their 16 matches to sit down in 17th position in the table.

Los Che are actually level on points with 18th-placed Real Valladolid and could potentially enter this match in the relegation zone, which is a firm indication of their struggles.

Only Huesca (one) have won fewer La Liga matches than Valencia (three) this term, and the former Spanish champions have lost their last two fixtures at home to Sevilla and away to Granada.

Valencia are now winless in their last seven in Spain's top flight, although they did pick up a point at Barcelona on December 19, and there is no question that Gracia has a talented squad at his disposal.

Los Che ran out 4-0 winners over Cadiz when the two teams last locked horns in the Copa del Rey back in December 2011, while they have been victorious in three of the four La Liga matches between the sides.

Alvaro Negredo celebrates scoring for Cadiz against Barcelona on December 5, 2020© Reuters

Cadiz, meanwhile, have impressed on their return to this level of football, winning five, drawing four and losing seven of their 16 matches to collect 19 points, which has left them in ninth position in the table.

All things considered, it has been a brilliant opening few months to the season for the club, but they are only four points clear of the relegation zone and will not enter this match in the best of form.

Not since a 2-1 success at home to Barca on December 5 have Cadiz triumphed in the league, losing three of their last four, including a heavy defeat away to Celta Vigo.

El Submarino Amarillo played out a goalless draw with struggling Real Valladolid last time out, meanwhile, but they have the fifth-best away record in Spain's top flight this term, picking up 13 points, which is the same as leaders Atletico Madrid and fourth-placed Sevilla.

Valencia La Liga form: LDDDLL
Valencia form (all competitions): DDWDLL

Cadiz La Liga form: DWLLLD
Cadiz form (all competitions): WLWLLD


Team News

Valencia's Yunus Musah in action with Real Madrid's Marcelo in La Liga on November 8, 2020© Reuters

Valencia will be without the services of both Goncalo Guedes and Jason through suspension on Monday night as the duo were sent off in the 2-1 loss at Granada last time out.

Jasper Cillessen, Gabriel Paulista are also definitely out through injury, while Toni Lato, Uros Racic and Hugo Guillamon are doubts for the hosts ahead of the contest.

Guedes's absence could see Manu Vallejo feature in the final third of the field, while Yunus Musah is also expected to come into the starting XI, with Maxi Gomez potentially remaining on the bench.

As for Cadiz, Sergio Gonzalez and Salvi Sanchez are both unavailable, having tested positive for coronavirus, while Luismi Quezada and Augusto Fernandez are still struggling with injuries.

Alex Fernandez is expected to return to the starting XI following the goalless draw with Valladolid, but Alberto Perea and Fali should both keep their positions in the side.

There are also unlikely to be any changes in the final third of the field, with Anthony Lozano set to retain his spot alongside Alvaro Negredo despite the presence of Filip Malbasic.

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Domenech; Wass, Mangala, Diakhaby, Gaya; Musah, Racic, Soler, Cheryshev; Gomez, Vallejo

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Carcelen, Lopez, Cala, Espino; Alex, Jonsson, Fali, Perea; Lozano, Negredo


SM words green background

We say: Valencia 1-1 Cadiz

Valencia are in desperate need of a win, but it is very difficult to back the hosts against a Cadiz side that have been impressive on the road this season; we are expecting a tight match between two teams in disappointing form and have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Valencia vs Cadiz

Valencia
62.8%
Draw
22.1%
Cadiz
15.1%
298
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Valencia's Maxi Gomez scores their second goal against Barcelona on December 19, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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