Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Mar 9, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol3 - 0Cerro
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rampla 0-3 Penarol
Sunday, March 3 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 3 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 2-3 Progreso
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Cerro |
50.96% ( 0.08) | 28.88% | 20.16% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 36.85% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.57% ( -0.07) | 67.43% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.45% ( -0.04) | 85.55% ( 0.04) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.86% ( 0.01) | 27.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.46% ( 0.01) | 62.53% ( -0.01) |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.57% ( -0.14) | 49.43% ( 0.13) |