MX23RW : Friday, November 8 03:09:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 25, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 0
Danubio

Bentancourt (84')
Polenta (83'), Bentancourt (85'), Baez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Romero (17'), Ferreira (42'), Leyes (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 0-2 Nacional
Tuesday, May 21 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Racing
Sunday, May 19 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
58.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 22.41% (0.004999999999999 0) 19.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)46.57% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.026 -0.03)68.85% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (-0.012 -0.01)15.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.46% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)44.54% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.56% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)38.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.81% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)75.19% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 58.56%
    Danubio 19.02%
    Draw 22.4%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 58.56%
1-1 @ 10.64%
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.74%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 19.02%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-3
Danubio
Martinez (39')
Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88')
Baez (87')
Romero (7'), Fernandez (64')
Etchebarne (13'), Lewis (71'), Ferreira (79'), Millan (90')
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol107211831523
2NacionalNacional107212181323
3Boston RiverBoston River10712169722
4DanubioDanubio10541114719
5Racing de MontevideoRacing10451117417
6Rampla JuniorsRampla104331111015
7Defensor SportingDefensor103431312113
8Miramar Misiones10343811-313
9FenixFenix104151014-413
10Montevideo WanderersWanderers103341213-112
11River PlateRiver Plate103251117-611
12LiverpoolLiverpool10244911-210
13Cerro Largo10235510-59
14CerroCerro10235816-89
15ProgresoProgreso10136512-76
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10028516-112
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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