Cerro

2 - 0

Danubio

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.