Wanderers1 - 0Maldonado
Veglio (45'), Fonseca (75'), (90+2')
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
for
Sunday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
41.46% ( 0.04) | 27.79% ( -0.03) | 30.75% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.73% ( 0.08) | 58.27% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.1% ( 0.06) | 78.9% ( -0.07) |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% ( 0.06) | 27.67% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% ( 0.08) | 63.22% ( -0.08) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% ( 0.03) | 34.45% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% ( 0.04) | 71.16% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.45% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 30.74% |
Fernandez (33')
Risso (23'), Garcia (78'), Silveira (82'), Cerro (86')