Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland Under-21s win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northern Ireland Under-21s in this match.
