Reading play host to Stoke City on Tuesday evening looking to preserve or extend their five-point advantage over the Championship relegation zone.
While the Royals are battling for their second-tier status, a mid-table finish looks likely for Stoke, even after posting back-to-back victories.
Match preview
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When Paul Ince was named as interim Reading manager, there were naturally a few raised eyebrows, but the recent arrival has - so far - delivered in the battle to avoid the drop.
Although collecting eight points from seven matches is hardly an eye-catching return, Ince has kept things ticking over at a time when the teams behind them have shown signs of life.
Most impressively, Reading have claimed two late draws on their travels, Josh Laurent's 82nd-minute equaliser at Barnsley ensuring that the Royals maintained a five-point advantage over their opponents.
With seven matches remaining, there is still plenty of work ahead of Ince and his players, but a favourable run of games at the Select Car Leasing Stadium provides Reading with every chance of leaving the Tykes, Derby County and Peterborough United with too much to do.
Two of Reading's six home wins this campaign have come in the last three games, the latest coming by a 1-0 scoreline against promotion-chasing Blackburn Rovers.
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Michael O'Neill and his Stoke squad would have anticipated being in a position to push for the Premier League at this stage of the season, but their bid petered out alarmingly throughout February and March.
Potentially on the brink of the sack, O'Neill has responded by guiding the Potters to successive home victories over Millwall and Sheffield United, keeping Stoke within 10 points of the top six with a match in hand.
Nevertheless, only a further seven victories will keep Stoke in the hunt, something which is highly unlikely given that they have not posted three wins on the bounce since November.
Just five wins have been recorded in 18 away fixtures this season, their last triumph on their travels coming all the way back on January 16 when they defeated Hull City.
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Team News
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Reading will be without Tom Ince, who is unable to face his parent club, so Tom Dele-Bashiru is likely to come into the side.
Barring any other selection issues, Ince will likely stick with the other 10 players which battled their way to a point at Oakwell.
Stoke midfielder Lewis Baker remains absent through injury, preventing him from making an appearance against one of his former loan clubs.
While O'Neill will likely retain the majority of the team which started against Sheffield United, Tyrese Campbell and Steven Fletcher are both pushing for recalls.
Liam Moore is out injured, but the defender would not have been able to face his parent club.
Reading possible starting lineup:
Nyland; Yiadom, Morrison, Holmes, McIntyre; Laurent, Drinkwater; Dele-Bashiru, Swift, Ejaria; Joao
Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Bonham; Wilmot, Jagielka, Harwood-Bellis, Tymon; Allen, Thompson; Brown, Vrancic, Campbell; Fletcher
We say: Reading 1-1 Stoke City
With both clubs having shown some form either side of the international break, this has the potential to be a hard-fought contest. While Stoke have the freedom to push for all three points, we are backing Reading to earn a deserved share of the spoils.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
