Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.