Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
