Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
