Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
