Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
