Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.