Union Adarve
2 - 2
Lugo

Portero (29', 49')
Maganto (60'), Mayorga (65'), Salama (99')

FT
(aet)

Joselu (34'), Barreiro (40' pen.)
Vidal (49')

Lugo win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Union Adarve and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Adarve had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Union Adarve win it was 1-0 (5.89%).

Result
Union Adarve	Draw	Lugo
17.04%	22.58%	60.38%

Both teams to score 47.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.75%

50.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.8%

72.2%

Union Adarve Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.08%

42.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.77%

79.23%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77%

16.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.26%

45.74%

Score Analysis

Union Adarve 17.04%

Lugo 60.37%

Draw 22.57%

Union Adarve	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 5.89% 2-1 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 2.49% 3-1 @ 1.28% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.69% Total : 17.04%	1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.57%	0-1 @ 12.66% 0-2 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 5.9% 0-4 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-5 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 1.14% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.96% Total : 60.37%