Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.64%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.