Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.