Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 (12.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.