Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 1-0 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.