Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee |
48.16% ( 0.05) | 24.48% ( -0.01) | 27.36% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.58% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.24% ( 0.01) | 46.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.98% ( 0.01) | 69.02% ( -0.01) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.51% ( 0.03) | 19.49% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.64% ( 0.04) | 51.36% ( -0.05) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.03% ( -0.03) | 30.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.73% ( -0.03) | 67.27% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 27.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Aberdeen | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 33 |
3 | RangersRangers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
5 | Motherwell | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Ross County | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
11 | Hibernian | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Hearts | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |