Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.