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Santa Clara
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Maritimo

Santa Clara
2 - 2
Maritimo

Tagawa (5', 33')
Carvalho (14'), Villanueva (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Alipour (64'), Winck (85')
Pelagio (50'), Costa (51'), Mendes (70')

Preview: Santa Clara vs. Maritimo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of ending a run of four games without victory, Maritimo travel to the Estadio de Sao Miguel to take on Santa Clara in round 31 of the Primeira Liga on Saturday.

Os Acoreanos, on the other hand, will be seeking to get one over the visitors after suffering a 4-1 defeat when the sides squared off back in December's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Santa Clara's Mohammad Mohebbi celebrates scoring their first goal with Rui Costa on February 12, 2022© Reuters

Santa Clara continue to struggle for consistency in the Portuguese Primeira Liga as they could only salvage a somewhat disappointing 1-1 draw against Arouca last Friday.

Following a drab first half at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Andre Silva broke the deadlock nine minutes after the interval, but Kyosuke Tagawa struck in the 72nd minute to force a share of the spoils.

Prior to that, Mario Silva's men ended their three-game winless run when Ricardinho and Tagawa scored in either half to secure a 2-0 victory over Estoril Praia on April 10.

With 35 points from 30 games, Santa Clara currently occupy 10th place in the Primeira Liga standings, one point and three places adrift of Saturday's visitors.

Elsewhere, Maritimo returned to winning ways in style when they comfortably saw off 10-man Boavista 4-0 when the sides met at the Estadio do Maritimo last Saturday.

Brazilian defender Matheus Costa opened the floodgates with his 41st-minute strike as Joel Tagueu netted three goals in a 24-minute spell to cap a sensational individual display.

O Maior das Ilhas were previously on a run of four games without a victory, managing one draw and suffering three defeats since a 1-0 win at Moreirense on March 6.

With just four games left to play, manager Vasco Seabra will hope the victory over Os Axadrezados can serve as a springboard for a fine run of form as they look to close out the season on a high and boost their chances of a top-half finish for the first time since the 2017-18 campaign.

However, next up is the stern test of taking on Santa Clara at the Estadio de Sao Miguel, where Silva's men are unbeaten this year, claiming six wins and three draws since a 3-0 loss to Porto last November.

Santa Clara Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Maritimo Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W


Team News

Sporting CP's Matheus Reis in action with Santa Clara's Rafael Ramos on March 5, 2022© Reuters

Portuguese midfielder Costinha remains the only injury concern for Santa Clara as the 29-year-old has been sidelined since last August when he suffered an Achilles tendon injury.

With his strike against Arouca last time out, Tagawa has now found the target in two consecutive games and we expect the Tokyo FC loanee to spearhead the attack for the third game on the spin.

As for Maritimo, Italian forward Stefano Beltrame continues his spell on the sidelines after picking up an injury in the game against Vitoria de Guimaraes on March 13.

Tagueu turned in a performance of the highest quality in last weekend's game against Boavista and the 28-year-old forward will look to deliver the goods once again.

Santa Clara possible starting lineup:
Pereira; Sagna, Villanueva, Boateng, Mansur; Carvalho, Nene; Costa, Ricardinho, Allano; Tagawa

Maritimo possible starting lineup:
Victor; Winck, M Costa, Junior, V Costa; Pelagio, Rossi; Costa, Henrique, Xadas; Tagueu


SM words green background

We say: Santa Clara 1-0 Maritimo

Buoyed by the victory over Boavista, Maritimo will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to leapfrog the hosts in the table. However, Santa Clara boasts one of the best home records this year and we predict they will keep this fine run going and come away with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Santa Clara vs Maritimo

Santa Clara
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Maritimo
0.0%
7
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Sporting Lisbon's Pablo Sarabia celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on April 3, 2022
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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