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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 7
May 13, 2021 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Earthquakes
0 - 1
Seattle


Wondolowski (73'), Abecasis (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roldan (18')
Ruidiaz (39'), Frei (78')

Preview: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders meet on Wednesday evening as the top two teams in the Western Conference square off in California.

While the Sounders sit in first place with 10 points from four fixtures, the home side have recorded three successive victories in MLS.


Match preview

San Jose Earthquakes head coach Matias Almeyda during the second half against the Toronto FC at Earthquakes Stadium in February 2020© Reuters

When his side lost out to Houston Dynamo on the opening weekend of the season, Matias Almeyda would have had concerns that his San Jose Earthquakes squad could be left facing another season in the bottom half of the table.

However, three wins in a row have put the club on track to enjoy their best campaign since 2013, when they finished in sixth spot in the Western Conference.

While it is still early days, expectations have been raised with nine goals being scored in 270 minutes and six different players finding the back of the net.

Club legend Chris Wondolowski marked his return from suspension with a late double against Real Salt Lake, completing a dramatic turnaround after the Earthquakes had trailed since the 43rd minute.

On the negative side, the Earthquakes are yet to keep a clean sheet this season, something which the Sounders will be looking to take advantage of on Wednesday.

Like their hosts, the Sounders have scored 10 goals in four matches, the latest couple of strikes coming during a 2-1 triumph over Portland Timbers.

Raul Ruidiaz netted from the penalty spot, taking his tally for the season to five, while Fredy Montero scored his second from the substitutes' bench.

As well as having the joint-best attacking record in the MLS, Brian Schmetzer will be equally satisfied with possessing the second-best defence.

San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Seattle Sounders head coach Brian Schmetzer against the Columbus Crew in the first half during the 2020 MLS Cup Final at MAPFRE Stadium in December 2020© Reuters

After his quickfire double as a substitute, Wondolowski will expect to be recalled to the Earthquakes' XI.

However, Almeyda may prefer to keep the veteran in reserve, instead using Cade Cowell down the middle of the attack.

Shea Salinas, Luciano Abecasis and Andres Rios are all in contention for starting roles.

Schmetzer will consider handing a first start of the season to Montero, with Will Bruin potentially dropping out of the team.

Barring any late fitness issues, the remainder of the side should stay the same for this fixture.

San Jose Earthquakes possible starting lineup:
Marcinkowski; Abecasis, Jungwirth, Beason, Lopez; Yueill, Remedi; Espinoza, Lopez, Fierro; Cowell

Seattle Sounders possible starting lineup:
Frei; Gomez, O'Neill, Tolo; A.Roldan, Paulo, Rowe, Smith; C.Roldan; Ruidiaz, Montero


SM words green background

We say: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Seattle Sounders

With both teams scoring goals for fun during their early games, the respective managers may lean towards a more defensive-minded strategy.

With that in mind, we would not be surprised to see a low-scoring share of the spoils play out on the West coast.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Seattle

San Jose Earthquakes
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Seattle Sounders
40.0%
10
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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