CSKA

1 - 0

Nizhny Novgorod

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 9.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.38%) and 3-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.