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Real Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Eibar logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Eibar

Asensio (41'), Benzema (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gil (20'), Pozo (90+4')

Preview: Real Madrid vs. Eibar - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Eibar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Real Madrid will be looking to make it four victories in a row in all competitions when they continue their La Liga campaign at home to Eibar on Saturday afternoon.

Los Blancos, who are third in the table, entered the international break off the back of a 3-1 victory at Celta Vigo, while 18th-placed Eibar played out a 1-1 draw with Athletic Bilbao last time out.


Match preview

Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring their first goal against Atalanta in the Champions League on March 16, 2021© Reuters

Madrid have had their problems during the 2020-21 campaign, but it could still be a very successful one for the club as they chase success in both La Liga and the Champions League.

Los Blancos will take on Liverpool in the quarter-finals of the European Cup, with the first leg to be held next week, while they are currently third in La Liga, just six points behind leaders Atletico Madrid.

Zinedine Zidane's side are two points behind second-placed Barcelona, meanwhile, and the two teams will lock horns in the Spanish capital on April 10, with both sides chasing down leaders Atletico Madrid.

It is a vital stage of the season for Madrid as they take on Liverpool twice and Barca in their next three fixtures, and the reigning Spanish champions should be in a confident mood, having won eight of their last 10 matches in all competitions, remaining beaten in the process.

The capital giants have the best away record in La Liga this term but have lost three times on their own patch, and the fact that Eibar are fighting for their lives makes this a potentially tricky encounter for Zidane's team.

Eibar manager Jose Luis Mendilibar pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Eibar are also in desperate need of the points but for very different reasons, with the club currently battling to escape the relegation zone.

Basement side Huesca are in action on Friday evening, meaning that Eibar could have dropped to 19th by the time that they take to the field for this match, but it is so tight at the bottom of the division, with just four points separating 19th-placed Alaves from 16th-placed Real Valladolid.

Los Armeros are actually operating in their seventh straight season at this level of football, and they have finished ninth, 12th and 14th in their last three top-flight campaigns.

Jose Luis Mendilibar's side are currently battling to escape the bottom three, though, and they managed to pick up a welcome point at Athletic before the international break.

Eibar have not won in the league since the start of January, though, while they have been victorious in just one of their last 17 matches in Spain's top flight.

Real Madrid La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Real Madrid form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Eibar La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Real Madrid's Dani Carvajal in action in December 2020© Reuters

Eden Hazard and Dani Carvajal are making progress in their recoveries from injury, but the pair will not be involved for Madrid this weekend.

Federico Valverde and Toni Kroos trained with Los Blancos on Wednesday but while the latter has been included in the squad, the former has been left out.

Alvaro Odriozola is now available following a spell on the sidelines, while Mariano Diaz has been included in the squad, boosting Zidane's options in the final third of the field.

Isco could be in line for a start if Kroos is named on the bench, but Sergio Ramos has been ruled out with a calf problem, meaning that there could be a spot in the back three for Eder Militao.

As for Eibar, Yoshinori Muto, Jose Angel, Pedro Bigas and Roberto Correa remain on the sidelines through injury, while Edu Exposito is also unlikely to be available.

The manner of the performance against Athletic last time out means that Mendilibar could decide to select the same XI for a second successive match.

Kike was on the scoresheet at San Mames and should again lead the away side's attack, while Kevin Rodrigues, Bryan Gil and Aleix Garcia are all expected to feature in the final third.

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Varane, Militao, Nacho; Vazquez, Modric, Casemiro, Isco, Mendy; Vinicius, Benzema

Eibar possible starting lineup:
Dmitrovic; Pozo, Oliveira, Arbilla, Rafa; Alvarez, Diop; Gil, Garcia, Rodrigues; Kike


SM words green background

We say: Real Madrid 2-0 Eibar

Madrid will be desperate to continue their winning run ahead of three extremely important matches, and we are finding it difficult to look past Zidane's side this weekend. Eibar are also in need of the points, but the champions should have more than enough to secure the victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 13.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Eibar

Real Madrid
91.4%
Draw
5.2%
Eibar
3.4%
58
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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