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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Real Madrid logo

Borussia M'bach
2 - 2
Real Madrid

Thuram (33', 58')
Stindl (56'), Bensebaini (79'), Neuhaus (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Benzema (87'), Casemiro (90+3')
Casemiro (89')

Preview: Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Real Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Real Madrid will be looking to record their first Champions League win of their 2020-21 campaign when they travel to Germany to tackle Borussia Monchengladbach on Tuesday night.

Los Blancos suffered a shock 3-2 home defeat to Shakhtar Donetsk in their competition opener last week, while Gladbach started their Group B challenge with a 2-2 draw away to Inter Milan.


Match preview

Borussia Monchengladbach manager Marco Rose pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Gladbach will head into Tuesday's European contest off the back of a 3-2 win over Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Saturday, with the result moving them onto eight points and leaving them fifth in the table.

Marco Rose's side also made a very encouraging start to their Champions League Group B campaign last week, picking up a point away to Inter, who needed a last-minute Romelu Lukaku effort to avoid defeat.

Gladbach have never qualified for the knockout round of this competition, with their two previous participations ending in the group stages. They also failed to qualify for the last-32 stage of the 2019-20 Europa League, finishing third in their section behind Istanbul Basaksehir and Roma.

Not since the third round of the 1985-86 UEFA Cup have the German outfit faced Madrid in European competition, but they did take on Barcelona in the group stages of the 2016-17 Champions League, losing home and away to the La Liga giants, including a 2-1 defeat on home soil.

The Colts will have been encouraged by their performance at San Siro on October 21, though, and another positive result on Tuesday would lead them nicely into their next European game with Shakhtar.

Real Madrid players celebrate scoring against Barcelona in El Clasico on October 24, 2020© Reuters

Madrid picked up a hugely important victory on Saturday, recording a 3-1 win away to Barca in the first Clasico of the campaign, with Sergio Ramos and Luka Modric both scoring in the second period.

For all of the criticism aimed at the reigning Spanish champions, they are currently top of the table, picking up 13 points from their first six domestic matches of the 2020-21 campaign.

Zinedine Zidane's side were incredibly beaten by a coronavirus-hit Shakhtar in their Champions League opener last week, though, with the Ukrainian side recording a 3-2 victory at the Bernabeu.

Madrid have now lost each of their last three European matches, having also been beaten twice by Manchester City in the last-16 stage of the 2019-20 competition.

The Spanish champions have qualified for the knockout round of the Champions League in each of their 25 participations, while they are 13-time champions. Zidane's team have now lost in the round of 16 in the last two seasons, though, and will be desperate to make an impression this term.

Borussia Monchengladbach Champions League form: LWDDLD
Borussia Monchengladbach form (all competitions): LDWDDW

Real Madrid Champions League form: WDWLLL
Real Madrid form (all competitions): WWWLLW


Team News

Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior celebrates scoring against Levante on October 4, 2020© Reuters

Gladbach will again be without the services of Andreas Poulsen, Denis Zakaria and Laszlo Benes through injury, while Mamadou Doucoure is also a doubt due to a muscular issue.

Valentino Lazaro is back in training after recovering from a calf problem, but the on-loan Inter attacker has not played since the end of August due to a calf problem.

Marcus Thuram, Alassane Plea, Jonas Hofmann and Florian Neuhaus were all left out of the starting XI against Mainz at the weekend but should return to the side for this game.

As for Madrid, the big news surrounds Eden Hazard, who has been named in the travelling party for the contest despite recently being on the sidelines with a muscular problem. The Belgian was not expected to return until the end of next month but could now feature against Gladbach.

Dani Carvajal, Martin Odegaard, Mariano Diaz and Alvaro Odriozola have all been left out of the squad, while Nacho has also not been included due to the knock that he picked up against Barca, meaning that Lucas Vazquez is expected to start at right-back.

Zidane is expected to stick with the majority of the XI that started against Barca, meaning that Modric might have to accept a spot on the bench once again, with Federico Valverde continuing in midfield.

The Madrid boss could potentially rest players in next weekend's league game with Huesca, but the importance of Tuesday's contest means that the likes of Karim Benzema, Casemiro, Ramos and Raphael Varane should all be in the starting XI.

Luka Jovic, Rodrygo Goes and Isco are all options for change in the final third of the field, but Marco Asensio and Vinicius Junior should keep their spots.

Borussia Monchengladbach possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Lainer, Ginter, Elvedi, Bensebaini; Kramer, Neuhaus; Hofmann, Embolo, Thuram; Plea

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Vazquez, Varane, Ramos, Mendy; Valverde, Casemiro, Kroos; Vinicius, Benzema, Asensio


SM words green background

We say: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Real Madrid

This has all of the makings of a very interesting game at Borussia-Park. Both sides will enter the match off the back of strong domestic victories, but the pressure is certainly on Madrid after a poor result against Shakhtar. We are expecting a close game in Germany but fancy Zidane's side to claim all three points.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Real Madrid?

Borussia Monchengladbach
0.0%
Draw
100%
Real Madrid
0.0%
1
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