Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.7%) and 1-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.

Result
Al-Sadd	Draw	Al Gharafa
51.66% ( -0.2)	21.62% ( 0.05)	26.71% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 65.13% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.06% (

-0.12)

33.93% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.21% (

-0.13)

55.79% (

0.13)

Al-Sadd Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53% (

-0.1)

13.46% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.54% (

-0.21)

40.46% (

0.2)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26% (

0.03)

24.74% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71% (

0.05)

59.29% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Al-Sadd 51.66%

Al Gharafa 26.71%

Draw 21.62%

Al-Sadd	Draw	Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 4% Total : 51.66%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.62%	1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.71%