Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 39.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.82%) and 1-0 (4.73%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Al Arabi	Draw	Al Gharafa
39.2% ( 0.02)	21.75% ( 0.01)	39.05% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 70.44% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.71% (

-0.05)

29.29% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.67% (

-0.06)

50.33% (

0.06)

Al Arabi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.96% (

-0.01)

16.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.6% (

-0.03)

45.4% (

0.03)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

-0.03)

16.1% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.49% (

-0.06)

45.51% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Al Arabi 39.2%

Al Gharafa 39.05%

Draw 21.75%

Al Arabi	Draw	Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 39.2%	1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.75%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 39.05%