Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Osijek win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.