Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	HNK Rijeka
55.68% ( 0.26)	22.88% ( -0.1)	21.44% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6% (

0.23)

45.4% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27% (

0.22)

67.73% (

-0.22)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86% (

0.17)

16.15% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.42% (

0.31)

45.59% (

-0.32)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

-0.02)

35.28% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.97% (

-0.02)

72.04% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 55.67%

HNK Rijeka 21.44%

Draw 22.88%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 55.67%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.88%	0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.44%