Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 15, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
1 - 2
AEK Athens

(AEK Athens win 4-3 on aggregate)

Bulat (39')
Ivanusec (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zuber (59'), Galanopoulos (90')
Hajsafi (57'), Mantalos (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Dinamo Zagreb and AEK Athens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Gorica
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Top scorers

AEK Athens

All competitions

Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-3 AEK Athens
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 AEK Athens

While Dinamo's four-game run without conceding could end on Tuesday, the Croatian outfit should defeat AEK comfortably in Zagreb to put themselves in the driver's seat after the first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	AEK Athens
44.47% ( 0.02)	23.86% ( -0.01)	31.66% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.5% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.48% (

0.05)

41.51% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.08% (

0.05)

63.91% (

-0.05)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08% (

0.02)

18.92% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58% (

0.05)

50.41% (

-0.05)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.62% (

0.02)

25.38% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.82% (

0.02)

60.18% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 44.48%

AEK Athens 31.66%

Draw 23.85%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	AEK Athens
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 44.48%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.66%