Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 13.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	NK Istra 1961
65.21% ( 0.43)	20.96% ( -0.14)	13.83% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 45.45% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.5% (

-0.02)

49.49% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.46% (

-0.02)

71.53% (

0.02)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.58% (

0.12)

14.41% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.67% (

0.24)

42.33% (

-0.25)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.11% (

-0.45)

46.89% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.59% (

-0.34)

82.4% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 65.19%

NK Istra 1961 13.83%

Draw 20.96%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	NK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 65.19%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.96%	0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.83%