Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Rijeka1 - 1Lille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Rijeka
Sunday, August 27 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, August 27 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Lorient 4-1 Lille
Sunday, August 27 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, August 27 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We said: HNK Rijeka 1-1 Lille (Lille to win 3-2 on aggregate)
Carrying a 2-1 advantage into the second leg, Lille will likely be happy to sit back and defend their lead on Thursday, even if it means advancing after a hard-fought draw in Croatia. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Lille |
29.12% ( 0.02) | 23.97% ( 0.01) | 46.9% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
