Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.