Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
18.25% ( -2.23) | 23.44% ( -0.78) | 58.32% ( 3.01) |
Both teams to score 47.49% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% ( 0.17) | 51.86% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( 0.15) | 73.62% ( -0.14) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.58% ( -2.4) | 42.42% ( 2.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.21% ( -2.13) | 78.79% ( 2.13) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.48% ( 1.18) | 17.53% ( -1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.96% ( 2.01) | 48.05% ( -2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.25% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 11.27% ( 0.76) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 6.54% ( 0.67) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.39) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.53% Total : 58.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |