Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 59.64%. A win for Norwich City Under-23s had a probability of 20.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stoke City Under-23s in this match.