Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.26%) and 1-3 (4.92%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.