Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
